Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 11.053317 12.736616 14.535804 16.595862 18.883086 21.338380 24.166987
2025-06-22 8.880547 11.074007 13.562491 16.574018 20.098108 24.069453 28.860148
2025-06-29 7.519842 10.025552 13.013127 16.795035 21.408985 26.807999 33.552592
2025-07-06 6.506063 9.208012 12.573892 17.003379 22.601265 29.359650 38.046987
2025-07-13 5.835211 8.709625 12.431055 17.495330 24.089702 32.261801 43.016533
2025-07-20 5.230879 8.209243 12.206434 17.815768 25.319884 34.838435 47.627726
2025-07-27 4.618303 7.615827 11.782517 17.805040 26.070840 36.786578 51.463848
2025-08-03 3.898813 6.779395 10.935209 17.129777 25.858276 37.427013 53.581683
2025-08-10 3.408571 6.225196 10.429486 16.872655 26.166333 38.726180 56.562461
2025-08-17 2.957039 5.676226 9.876101 16.491469 26.253869 39.697412 59.098666
2025-08-24 2.611775 5.257661 9.478381 16.298619 26.577065 40.975700 62.060122
2025-08-31 2.272691 4.807869 8.989027 15.923363 26.597066 41.806798 64.402074
2025-09-07 2.065990 4.569201 8.821347 16.035599 27.345059 43.698238 68.291862
2025-09-14 1.843658 4.274471 8.533747 15.932596 27.751253 45.097251 71.509567
2025-09-21 1.693538 4.097677 8.428923 16.111489 28.586872 47.135448 75.683206
2025-09-28 1.559866 3.936434 8.335738 16.297806 29.432068 49.201975 79.938974
2025-10-05 1.479704 3.874008 8.411513 16.766741 30.735152 51.980273 85.293048
2025-10-12 1.383950 3.767023 8.395899 17.073585 31.782427 54.393123 90.156042
2025-10-19 1.256612 3.575241 8.205788 17.061978 32.304044 56.010242 93.863435
2025-10-26 1.068890 3.220738 7.673863 16.408923 31.732401 55.914522 94.983300
2025-11-02 0.946061 2.998361 7.378941 16.160288 31.816972 56.829913 97.640335
2025-11-09 0.825227 2.761515 7.032656 15.791968 31.675094 57.373228 99.727135
2025-11-16 0.733888 2.584449 6.792894 15.605658 31.832260 58.387534 102.552185